Treasurys fall amid more anxiety about inflation
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AP , New York: May 16 2008
Made Popular May 16 2008

Treasury prices fell Friday after rising oil caused investors to worry about rising inflation’s erosion of fixed-income valuations.

Crude prices rose more than $2 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, while the average retail price of gasoline hovered around $3.77 per gallon. That has raised concerns that consumers and businesses will struggle with higher costs, and that will hurt the overall economy.

Higher inflation makes fixed-income products, like government bonds, less attractive because it could eat into returns.

Bonds were higher earlier in the session after a report from the University of Michigan reported that its preliminary gauge of May consumer sentiment came in at a worse-than-anticipated reading of 59.5. The reading was its lowest since 1980, and down from April’s reading of 62.6.

Weak readings on the economy tend to lure investors to safer assets like government securities.

The Commerce Department report on the housing market was positive, showing that construction of new homes rose 8.2 percent in April. The jump was the largest monthly advance in more than two years, and came as upbeat news after analysts had predicted a 0.7 percent decline.

However, the rise was due mostly to a surge in apartment construction, which can be volatile.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose 10/32 to 100 24/32 and yielded 2.78 percent, down from 3.82 percent late Thursday, according to BGCantor Market Data. Bond prices move in the opposite direction of yields.

The 30-year long bond rose 20/32 to 97 25/32 and yielded 4.51 percent, down from 4.55 percent late Thursday.

The 2-year note rose 2/32 to 99 16/32, and its yield fell to 2.39 percent from 2.43 percent.

Treasurys have been bouncing back and forth within a range for about a month. Economic data has been indicating that the economy remains in a downturn, but not a free-fall, with the inflation outlook unclear.

“We keep rotating from top to bottom, bottom to top,” said Joel Marver, a Treasury technical analyst at Thomson Financial, noting that trading volumes have been relatively light. “The tendency to hold in a range does indicate uncertainty.”

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