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"SADC is now fed up with President Robert Mugabe and the regional leaders have reportedly decided to let the octogenarian go it alone should he decide to proceed with elections without a clear roadmap for free and fair elections.
Mediator to the Zimbabwean crisis, South African President Jacob Zuma, is widely expected to descend heavily on President Mugabe and wield the proverbial bobbejaan spanner (pipe wrench) when SADC Heads of State meet in Johannesburg on June 11, diplomatic sources said.
"Word is that SADC leaders have had enough of the Zimbabwe story which is taking up much of their time unnecessarily. President Mugabe remains intransigent and the result could be regional instability. The leaders are saying if President Mugabe wants to go ahead with elections this year without SADC’s go-ahead, he can do so at his own peril," a diplomat said."
The problem that we face is that Mugabe is determined to out think SADC and the SADC reaction is very lax, undecided and full of a reluctance to rock the boat.
The mediator, Jacob Zuma, whilst he has indicated his want to come down heavily on Mugabe, has been very quiet in his campaign to have Mugabe replaced/removed/reformed (delete the inapplicable).
SADC leaders must be just a little sick of Zimbabwe always being on the agenda, but then they don't go far enough with any of their mission statements, or they manage to remove Zimbabwe from the table for discussion.
"Another diplomat said the price would be too costly for Zimbabwe and President Mugabe should he proceed with plans to hold elections without the regional bloc’s thumbs-up.
"Tension is high ahead of the June 11 meeting on Zimbabwe. SADC has made its position clear and so has President Mugabe. But should President Mugabe shun advice, he will have himself to blame if the SADC leaders decide to ditch him like we hear they are contemplating. The Zimbabwe crisis has gone on for too long yet it could have been resolved years ago if President Mugabe wanted," the diplomat said.
But political analysts and observers say elections this year would plunge the country into a crisis because the process and the results will not be "legitimate"."
Mugabe too, must be quite sick of the SADC intentions which seemingly hang over his head, and should SADC decide to embark upon enforced reformation (I don't know how), then Mugabe will just remove Zimbabwe from the body. It is an option which I am sure that he is considering.
"They said should SADC let President Mugabe get his way, it would be a blow to the "struggle for democracy" in Zimbabwe.
"I think if SADC throws in the towel and gives (President) Mugabe the green light to go ahead with elections, it will be a sad day for the struggle for democracy in Zimbabwe," political analyst Charles Mangongera said. "A lot of Zimbabweans and others, who are concerned about the future of the country in the region and abroad, have been pinning their hopes on SADC to be able to facilitate the creation of conditions that will allow Zimbabweans to freely express themselves."
The only problem that I see is that if Mugabe is allowed to fly solo, he is going to wreak havoc in Zimbabwe most certainly, and probably, the immediate region.
Robb WJ Ellis
The Bearded Man
